Some Kind of Educated Guesses: iOS 5 and iPhone 5

Some sites are picking up a report by TechCrunch that Apple is pushing iOS 5 release to Fall 2011.

In fact, the plan right now is to wait to launch iOS 5 until the fall, we’ve heard from two solid sources.

Is this a new information?
Not really.

March 19th, 2011
There will be no #iPhone5 announcement at #Apple #WWDC 2011. It is all about Mac OS X Lion. September 2011 for iPhone 5 in time for Holiday.

It is likely that Apple would introduce iOS 5.0 during WWDC 2011, alongside with everything Mac OS X Lion. It seems that Apple has been planning iPhone 5 release in September 2011 before the introduction of CDMA iPhone 4. Nine months are long enough for a new CDMA iPhone alongside the GSM iPhone.

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Train of thoughts:

Apple released iPhone for Verizon back in January 2011 and many questioned what Apple would do on WWDC 2011 this Summer. Would Apple unveil the next iPhone, six month after the release of CDMA iPhone 4? Since 2007 Apple has been releasing new model of iPhone in June or July. Would 2011 be different?

In February 2011, some sites intrepreted John Gruber’s guesses that iPad 3 is coming in September 2011. It then became news in the Apple world. Right after the introduction of iPad 2, the rumor of iPad 3 in September 2011 was marked as false; for Apple called 2011 “The year of iPad 2.”

Fast forward to March 25th, 2011; which is yesterday. TechCrunch’s MG Siegler reported that Apple is readying Mac OS X Lion for release around WWDC 2011. MAC OS X Lion build 11A390 was seeded to registered Mac Developers on February 24th, 2011. Historically, Apple would release several builds of its upcoming Mac OS X before the Golden Master. One month after the release of Mac OS X Lion, Apple has yet to release any updates to the Developer Preview. It is likely that Mac OS X Lion would see the release this WWDC. Should Apple release Mac OS X Lion this WWDC, then would Apple also introduce iPhone 5? Probably not.

Selected iPhone and iOS chronology:

As of March 26th, 2011 Apple has yet announced anything related to iOS 5. Will there be previews of iOS 5.0 in late March or early April this year? Only Apple knows.